The Equity market may have seen the bottom, that is, the absolute low in this one year down swing. Last Tuesday we said we expected to see the low last week, though we did suggest perhaps risk lower first, which did not eventuate.
The worst of the credit crunch is behind us, the worst of the economic down-turn is ahead of us. This we announced two weeks ago, and the world is now starting to agree that credit markets will in the main continue to calm, though of course not to pre-crisis levels. Now it is only a question of whether the worst of the economic down-turn has been fully priced. It is even possible the continuing global slow-down has been over priced in equity and other markets. This is most likely to be the case in commodity markets and resource stocks. The opportunities in the resource sector, particularly in the Australian resource sector for foreign investors are at extreme levels that may never again be repeated.





